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Red44
236322.7
348910.7
175819.7
Blue14
13987.7
12938.1
53911.1
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453202060801001201404414

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2363
#17
22.70.0
20.620.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
539
#26
11.11.7
14.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1758
#20
19.70.0
11.911.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
1293
#39
8.11.7
10.69.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3489
#40
10.70.0
11.011.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
1398
#54
7.71.7
9.17.5
Auto
Teleop
End