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Red74
43521.2
281510.2
349019.6
Blue29
458213.6
265511.5
53816.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions50280204060801001201407429

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
435
#4
21.22.3
22.925.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
538
#44
16.80.2
10.09.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
19.62.3
15.317.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.0
4582
#32
13.60.2
10.19.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2815
#29
10.22.3
8.410.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
2655
#49
11.50.2
11.611.4
Auto
Teleop
End