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Red128
24543.6
47228.6
205923.9
Blue54
161018.2
128718.0
13987.7
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5441020608010012014012854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#11
43.65.9
31.137.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 25.4
1610
#15
18.20.8
18.118.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2059
#28
23.95.9
17.923.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.9
1287
#22
18.00.8
18.219.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4722
#57
8.65.9
2.78.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1398
#54
7.70.8
6.97.7
Auto
Teleop
End