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Red65
131920.4
175819.7
265511.5
Blue58
218721.6
126112.8
263215.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions483702060801001201406558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1319
#12
20.41.5
17.719.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
2187
#60
21.61.5
13.615.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1758
#20
19.71.5
18.219.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.4
2632
#31
15.31.5
13.815.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2655
#49
11.51.5
10.111.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.3
1261
#52
12.81.5
11.312.8
Auto
Teleop
End