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Final 12013 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red130
382438.6
457612.8
426543.9
Blue89
82939.5
239320.2
409219.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1047205015020025013089

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4265
#2
43.90.6
45.3→45.9
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 4.4
829
#9
39.50.2
38.9→39.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3824
#1
38.60.5
39.9→40.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 18.4
2393
#17
20.20.2
19.6→19.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4576
#23
12.80.6
14.2→14.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.6
4092
#34
19.40.2
18.8→19.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—