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Red102
261435.4
319636.5
446212.5
Blue120
409219.4
239320.2
82939.5
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8768050100150200102120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
36.50.3
36.336.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
829
#9
39.50.8
36.837.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
35.40.3
35.235.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 15.2
2393
#17
20.20.8
17.518.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4462
#19
12.50.3
12.312.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.8
4092
#34
19.40.9
16.417.3
Auto
Teleop
End