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Red8
44894.2
382112.1
401610.0
Blue15
32278.7
43964.1
219014.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2731020406080100815

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3821
#33
12.11.6
9.88.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
2190
#37
14.61.3
10.59.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4016
#49
10.01.6
8.16.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
8.71.3
9.78.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4489
#43
4.23.6
4.27.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4396
#40
4.11.3
9.98.7
Auto
Teleop
End