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Red2
44894.2
31162.5
42645.0
Blue0
28176.9
39668.9
474011.7
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2127010405060708020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4264
#24
5.01.7
7.55.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.7
4740
#15
11.72.1
7.15.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4489
#43
4.21.7
7.96.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
3966
#30
8.92.1
8.26.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3116
#39
2.51.7
6.64.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
2817
#41
6.92.1
10.48.2
Auto
Teleop
End