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Red131
122525.1
131124.3
426543.9
Blue41
409219.4
384317.9
54712.0
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5834020408010012013141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.96.4
19.625.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 24.5
4092
#34
19.40.2
15.315.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1225
#26
25.14.2
17.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.2
3843
#10
17.90.2
11.912.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1311
#20
24.35.1
17.522.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 12.3
547
#14
12.00.2
11.211.4
Auto
Teleop
End