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Qual 222013 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red29
464217.5
40253.3
382910.2
Blue8
32278.7
28565.3
39728.2
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24280406080298

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4642
#22
17.50.4
10.5→10.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 8.8
3227
#8
8.71.6
7.6→6.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3829
#28
10.20.4
6.8→7.2
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.0
3972
#16
8.21.6
10.3→8.7
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4025
#38
3.30.4
7.2→7.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 2.1
2856
#46
5.31.6
8.9→7.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—