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Qual 322013 Smoky Mountains Regional
Red43
384317.9
124927.8
44792.2
Blue29
32278.7
409816.8
82939.5
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions495502040801001201404329

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1249
#4
27.80.3
31.4→31.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 11.6
829
#9
39.51.3
35.6→34.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
3843
#10
17.90.6
12.1→11.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 1.1
4098
#18
16.82.1
12.7→10.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
4479
#47
2.20.6
6.2→5.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 6.5
3227
#8
8.72.1
6.1→4.0
Auto—
Teleop—
End—