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Red2
401610.0
32594.8
28176.9
Blue8
474011.7
446212.5
47210.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22200103040506028

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4016
#49
10.01.6
5.94.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.6
4462
#19
12.51.0
9.58.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2817
#41
6.91.6
8.77.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
4740
#15
11.71.0
8.07.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3259
#48
4.81.6
7.05.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.2
4721
#50
0.61.0
2.91.9
Auto
Teleop
End