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Red32
47210.6
384317.9
37978.7
Blue52
44894.2
384416.5
239320.2
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25370501001503252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3843
#10
17.90.4
18.819.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.3
2393
#17
20.20.8
16.917.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3797
#36
8.70.4
6.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.8
3844
#27
16.51.4
12.914.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4721
#50
0.60.4
1.92.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.7
4489
#43
4.21.4
5.26.6
Auto
Teleop
End