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Red10
28565.3
32594.8
45546.1
Blue33
31162.5
35169.6
398419.4
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26330204060801001033

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4554
#32
6.11.2
10.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 13.3
3984
#11
19.40.1
20.420.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2856
#46
5.31.2
9.58.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3516
#31
9.60.1
9.09.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3259
#48
4.81.2
6.75.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3116
#39
2.50.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End