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Red21
39728.2
44894.2
43066.3
Blue82
401610.0
131124.3
450418.8
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1545060801002182

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3972
#16
8.20.1
7.57.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 16.1
1311
#20
24.32.1
22.224.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4306
#25
6.30.1
5.35.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 12.5
18.82.1
14.917.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4489
#43
4.20.1
6.97.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.7
4016
#49
10.03.0
3.16.1
Auto
Teleop
End