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Red12
38612.2
31405.5
457612.8
Blue27
44792.2
40209.9
463011.4
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2122010304050601227

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4576
#23
12.80.6
11.911.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4630
#21
11.40.4
10.310.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3140
#42
5.50.5
6.25.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.4
4020
#35
9.90.4
9.19.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3861
#45
2.20.6
3.42.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4479
#47
2.20.4
2.32.7
Auto
Teleop
End