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Red64
64712.8
215811.4
384738.8
Blue37
70432.6
399913.7
43356.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions645201001506437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
Unranked
38.80.1
36.736.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
704
Unranked
32.60.9
32.431.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
647
Unranked
12.80.1
15.916.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3999
Unranked
13.71.0
8.37.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2158
Unranked
11.40.1
9.49.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.0
4335
Unranked
6.40.9
13.412.6
Auto
Teleop
End