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Red9
6535.3
367910.8
406341.0
Blue62
324011.8
215811.4
36436.4
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5756204080100962

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4063
Unranked
41.02.4
41.939.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
364
Unranked
36.40.2
35.936.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3679
Unranked
10.82.6
9.56.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
3240
Unranked
11.80.2
12.112.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
653
Unranked
5.32.4
4.62.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.1
2158
Unranked
11.40.2
9.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End