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Red104
45721.4
399913.7
246858.1
Blue37
142923.1
333513.3
332016.8
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8044010015020010437

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2468
Unranked
58.11.5
50.351.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 35.0
1429
Unranked
23.10.7
24.123.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
Unranked
21.41.5
17.218.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.6
3320
Unranked
16.80.7
11.610.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3999
Unranked
13.71.6
7.28.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
3335
Unranked
13.30.7
14.513.8
Auto
Teleop
End