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Red78
367910.8
284832.2
310319.3
Blue98
399913.7
295019.1
258736.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions496401001502007898

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2848
Unranked
32.21.3
29.731.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
2587
Unranked
36.31.8
39.641.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3103
Unranked
19.31.3
14.816.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2950
Unranked
19.11.8
13.615.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3679
Unranked
10.81.3
6.98.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
3999
Unranked
13.71.8
8.910.7
Auto
Teleop
End