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Red96
324011.8
331059.4
62462.1
Blue16
258736.3
333513.3
384738.8
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions132980501502002503009616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
62.11.5
59.958.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.4
3847
Unranked
38.84.4
41.136.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3310
Unranked
59.41.5
49.347.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.1
2587
Unranked
36.34.4
44.039.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3240
Unranked
11.82.1
17.815.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.6
3335
Unranked
13.34.4
18.213.8
Auto
Teleop
End