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Red54
129628.5
258320.8
293640.6
Blue7
367910.8
332016.8
27219.2
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9720050150200250547

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2936
Unranked
40.61.5
39.037.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 23.8
3320
Unranked
16.81.5
13.211.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1296
Unranked
28.51.5
30.228.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 17.6
3679
Unranked
10.81.5
11.19.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2583
Unranked
20.81.9
15.713.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 11.6
2721
Unranked
9.21.5
8.06.5
Auto
Teleop
End