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Red150
331059.4
62462.1
284832.2
Blue104
246858.1
406341.0
278915.6
81%Model gave it19%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions158106050200250300150104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
624
Unranked
62.10.0
60.960.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.0
2468
Unranked
58.10.2
58.057.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3310
Unranked
59.40.0
58.258.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 18.4
4063
Unranked
41.00.2
40.940.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2848
Unranked
32.20.0
31.031.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
2789
Unranked
15.60.2
15.515.3
Auto
Teleop
End