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Red9
129630.7
300511.6
419215.2
Blue46
295012.9
70433.2
42597.1
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions47400206080100946

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.71.8
25.623.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.5
704
#6
33.20.3
22.622.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4192
#14
15.23.1
12.69.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.3
2950
#24
12.90.4
7.98.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3005
#28
11.63.1
7.74.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.5
4259
#17
7.10.4
10.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End