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Red9
373514.9
29664.3
43178.9
Blue14
433511.8
43549.2
35228.3
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions27210104050607080914

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3735
#16
14.91.0
8.47.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
4335
#27
11.80.7
9.08.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4317
#46
8.91.4
7.86.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4354
#38
9.20.7
7.06.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2966
#19
4.31.4
9.78.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.1
3522
#35
8.30.7
6.35.6
Auto
Teleop
End