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Red0
64717.8
42597.1
337011.9
Blue15
29664.3
464116.4
30433.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions421706080100120015

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
647
#31
17.81.9
17.615.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
16.40.5
7.87.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3370
#36
11.93.2
9.56.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 7.6
2966
#19
4.30.5
8.37.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4259
#17
7.13.2
11.17.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3043
#30
3.80.5
4.64.1
Auto
Teleop
End