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Red49
47757.3
349714.7
70433.2
Blue4
43178.9
43006.0
295012.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442506080100120494

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
704
#6
33.20.5
22.122.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 20.3
2950
#24
12.92.0
9.97.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3497
#13
14.70.7
9.09.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.8
4317
#46
8.92.0
9.87.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4775
#34
7.32.8
7.310.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.3
4300
#40
6.01.3
8.06.7
Auto
Teleop
End