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Red19
464116.4
28055.3
295012.9
Blue3
32826.4
35228.3
47757.3
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26190406080193

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16.40.5
7.36.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 8.1
3522
#35
8.31.4
4.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2950
#24
12.90.5
6.96.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.6
4775
#34
7.31.4
6.95.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2805
#20
5.30.5
10.29.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
3282
#37
6.41.4
9.27.8
Auto
Teleop
End