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Red75
337011.9
47757.3
300511.6
Blue89
435913.0
293637.5
419215.2
14%Model gave it86%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15490204060801007589

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3370
#36
11.94.6
5.410.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 25.6
37.52.2
27.930.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3005
#28
11.64.6
9.514.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
4192
#14
15.23.7
8.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4775
#34
7.34.6
5.510.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
4359
#11
13.03.7
8.111.9
Auto
Teleop
End