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Red18
420614.2
41389.9
300511.6
Blue65
317215.2
331035.6
349714.7
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354302060801001201865

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4206
#12
14.20.9
11.110.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 21.4
35.61.2
20.621.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3005
#28
11.61.5
14.012.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
15.21.9
11.513.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4138
#33
9.91.5
11.49.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.8
3497
#13
14.71.9
9.611.5
Auto
Teleop
End