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Red26
32826.4
30433.8
22839.3
Blue16
43549.2
43006.0
40764.0
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions18150103040506070802616

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2283
#15
9.30.7
9.510.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
4354
#38
9.20.0
5.25.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3282
#37
6.40.7
5.76.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
4300
#40
6.00.0
6.26.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3043
#30
3.80.7
2.33.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
4076
#42
4.00.0
4.24.2
Auto
Teleop
End