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Qual 562013 Dallas Regional
Red48
380231.9
42597.1
34136.0
Blue8
47757.3
40764.0
17749.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44130206080100488

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3802
#3
31.90.7
26.4→27.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 22.5
1774
#41
9.40.8
7.1→6.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4259
#17
7.10.7
4.7→5.4
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.3
4775
#34
7.30.8
7.3→6.5
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3413
#32
6.00.7
7.9→8.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 2.1
4076
#42
4.00.8
3.6→2.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—