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Red65
43549.2
12553.0
293637.5
Blue15
28055.3
30373.7
33509.6
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46150204060801006515

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
37.51.2
33.434.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 27.9
3350
#45
9.60.3
8.88.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4354
#38
9.21.7
5.16.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.9
2805
#20
5.30.3
5.04.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1255
#44
3.01.2
2.53.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
3037
#43
3.70.3
5.95.6
Auto
Teleop
End