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Red54
43648.7
295012.9
174516.8
Blue25
464116.4
337011.9
461010.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344002060801005425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1745
#23
16.81.2
15.516.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
16.40.9
17.216.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2950
#24
12.91.2
11.712.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3370
#36
11.90.9
12.711.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4364
#29
8.71.2
7.68.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
4610
#21
10.00.9
9.38.4
Auto
Teleop
End