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Red30
47757.3
380231.9
30433.8
Blue52
22839.3
373514.9
317215.2
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions413602060803052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.90.6
28.227.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 16.7
15.21.0
14.715.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4775
#34
7.30.6
8.07.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 7.6
3735
#16
14.90.8
14.014.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3043
#30
3.80.6
4.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.5
2283
#15
9.30.9
8.19.1
Auto
Teleop
End