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Red120
23138.9
35228.3
293637.5
Blue96
380231.9
70433.2
43549.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8667204010012014016012096

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
231
#4
38.90.6
38.338.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
704
#6
33.20.4
31.732.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
37.50.6
36.837.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.5
31.90.5
30.230.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3522
#35
8.30.7
7.68.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
4354
#38
9.20.5
7.78.2
Auto
Teleop
End