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Red20
458910.3
28819.8
468913.2
Blue0
35165.6
27375.6
243813.0
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33230406080200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4689
#21
13.21.0
6.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2438
#14
13.02.0
11.39.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4589
#20
10.31.0
13.912.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.7
3516
#49
5.62.0
6.94.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2881
#27
9.81.0
10.79.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.3
2737
#44
5.62.0
6.44.3
Auto
Teleop
End