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Red34
35165.6
432819.7
39615.6
Blue24
37359.2
288214.5
333511.2
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203304060801003424

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
19.71.0
11.412.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.2
2882
#43
14.50.6
9.99.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3961
#11
5.61.0
5.66.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 5.6
3335
#25
11.20.6
9.38.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3516
#49
5.61.0
4.85.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.6
3735
#40
9.20.6
11.711.1
Auto
Teleop
End