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Red4
258514.3
36127.7
33053.6
Blue35
366611.8
18657.8
28819.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24340406080100435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2585
#18
14.31.8
8.16.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.4
3666
#22
11.80.3
9.59.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3612
#55
7.71.8
8.87.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2881
#27
9.80.3
9.710.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3305
#51
3.61.8
8.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.3
1865
#41
7.80.3
12.612.8
Auto
Teleop
End