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Red40
243813.0
258221.3
29822.3
Blue22
44110.3
41814.7
6538.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34351020304050604022

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2582
#13
21.30.5
21.922.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.5
418
#31
14.71.0
10.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2438
#14
13.00.5
11.311.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
441
#12
10.31.0
12.311.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2982
#50
2.30.5
1.31.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 6.0
653
#45
8.31.0
10.99.9
Auto
Teleop
End