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Red14
374114.9
458910.3
39615.6
Blue10
37282.9
46394.1
369611.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions342004060801001410

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.91.5
12.511.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.0
3696
#32
11.81.0
11.210.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4589
#20
10.31.5
14.212.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.2
4639
#57
4.11.0
7.06.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3961
#11
5.61.5
5.43.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.7
3728
#56
2.91.0
4.33.3
Auto
Teleop
End