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Red60
147731.3
47467.6
310315.0
Blue70
369611.8
23128.8
366611.8
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5940020801006070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
31.30.3
33.033.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
231
#9
28.82.2
19.721.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3103
#24
15.00.3
15.115.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.1
3666
#22
11.82.2
12.414.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4746
#42
7.60.3
7.78.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.2
3696
#32
11.82.3
10.212.5
Auto
Teleop
End