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Red15
18657.8
4579.6
384713.9
Blue25
41558.9
42806.1
47467.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions352204060801525

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3847
#23
13.91.4
14.212.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 4.9
4155
#37
8.90.1
8.88.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
457
#36
9.61.3
9.38.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.0
4746
#42
7.60.1
8.08.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1865
#41
7.81.4
9.17.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
4280
#47
6.10.1
6.76.9
Auto
Teleop
End