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Qual 892013 Lone Star Regional
Red19
348110.3
142922.7
473111.1
Blue9
373013.3
33053.6
366611.8
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5330020406080100120199

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1429
#17
22.72.0
23.8→21.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 9.4
3730
#34
13.31.7
15.0→13.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Second
4731
#19
11.12.0
13.1→11.1
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
blue by 0.7
3666
#22
11.81.7
13.5→11.8
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
Third
3481
#28
10.32.0
12.3→10.3
Auto—
Teleop—
End—
red by 6.7
3305
#51
3.61.8
5.3→3.6
Auto—
Teleop—
End—