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Red111
198651.9
180112.3
393133.4
Blue45
1625.5
27899.4
406320.1
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10647015020011145

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.3
51.751.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 26.4
16
#3
25.50.2
25.725.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
33.40.3
33.233.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 13.3
20.10.2
20.320.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1801
#27
12.30.3
12.012.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.9
2789
#19
9.40.2
9.69.4
Auto
Teleop
End