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Red6
430110.3
48206.9
42068.2
Blue30
175010.3
246821.8
18171.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213406080100120140160630

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4301
#40
10.31.4
4.12.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 11.5
2468
#12
21.80.2
17.917.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4206
#23
8.21.4
10.28.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
1750
#20
10.30.2
6.66.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4820
#31
6.91.4
8.47.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 5.7
1817
#41
1.20.2
7.67.4
Auto
Teleop
End