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Red2
18171.2
43008.0
27899.4
Blue32
29655.5
45705.0
93213.2
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions343501020304050607080232

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2789
#19
9.42.7
11.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
932
#15
13.20.2
16.816.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4300
#24
8.02.7
11.08.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 2.5
2965
#28
5.50.2
8.38.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1817
#41
1.22.7
13.010.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.9
4570
#14
5.04.2
5.09.3
Auto
Teleop
End