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Red0
47985.5
43516.8
42983.5
Blue19
331010.3
473410.2
48537.3
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions203406080100120140019

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4351
#21
6.81.9
6.04.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.4
3310
#10
10.31.1
11.610.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4798
#34
5.51.9
8.56.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 4.7
4734
#22
10.21.1
12.511.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4298
#26
3.51.9
7.96.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.8
4853
#32
7.31.1
7.96.8
Auto
Teleop
End