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Red60
406320.1
198651.9
42068.2
Blue40
110819.5
331010.3
43516.8
90%Model gave it10%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions77140501001502006040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51.90.6
46.646.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 32.5
19.51.4
8.710.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
20.10.6
12.411.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 9.9
3310
#10
10.31.4
10.511.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4206
#23
8.20.6
8.37.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4351
#21
6.81.4
4.15.5
Auto
Teleop
End