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Red4
45705.0
48537.3
47985.5
Blue16
46948.4
45523.7
27899.4
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25210103040506070416

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4853
#32
7.31.5
8.87.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.1
2789
#19
9.40.4
10.810.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
4798
#34
5.51.5
8.16.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.9
4694
#11
8.40.4
9.08.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
4570
#14
5.01.5
7.46.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
4552
#17
3.70.4
1.51.1
Auto
Teleop
End